We Play, They Play, You Bet: WePlay – Season 3 LAN Finals Analysis And Preview

Posted on April 27, 2016 - Last Updated on April 26, 2019

The time is approaching near as the top eight teams at WePlay Season 3 will compete against each other for the season title of the tournament.

Currently, all the teams are performing well in the tournament and it is hard to predict who’ll actually win the tournament. But based on statistics and recent performances, we’ll do our eSports betting analysis on each series that will be played on April 28 at the WePlay Season 3 LAN Finals.

1. Elite Wolves vs Natus Vincere – 7:00 UTC

The first best-of-three series of the day will be played between Natus Vincere and Elite Wolves.

In the Dota 2 competitive scene, both the teams are very much unpredictable and their performance doesn’t remain constant from one tournament to another. If they perform well in one tournament, then it doesn’t reflect that they will perform well in the next tournament too.

Natus Vincere, especially, are an unpredictable team and their team coordination doesn’t remain static throughout the year. At this stage, the roster of Natus Vincere is in a more stable condition than before. Now, the whole team coordinate with each other to give their best in the series.

So far, Natus Vincere has had a seven game winning streak, yet they drew their last series against Vega Squadron.

On the other hand, the performance of Elite Wolves isn’t good. They are lacking some serious team coordination as well as good communication level among themselves.

They’ve lost many series in their recent matches and one of the main reasons behind their defeats was the lack of good lineup and team heroes which are currently in meta. They didn’t use their heroes well in the past couple of series and so the opponent team just demolished them with their superior tactics and team calibration.

Based on the statistics and recent performances, it is quite clear to say that Natus Vincere can easily take down Elite Wolves in the best-of-three series at WePlay Season 3 LAN Finals.

Series winner prediction: Natus Vincere

Chances of Natus Vincere of winning the series

  • 2-0: 30%
  • 2-1: 60%

Bet range: Medium

Bet status: Normal

Check our eSports betting odds tracker for up-to-date odds from top eSports betting sites like Betway and Bet 365 eSports.

2. Team Liquid vs Team Spirit – 8:00 UTC

The second series of the day will be played between Team Liquid and Team Spirit.

Team Liquid, being cursed with the old position of Cloud 9, always end up at the second position in the tournament. But that doesn’t mean that they don’t have the potential to face professional tier one teams in the Dota 2 competitive scene.

Of course, due to excellent team performance and good communication skills, they made their appearance in the Shanghai Major Grand Finals and ESL One Manila Grand Finals against Team Secret and Wings Gaming, respectively.

On the other hand, the performance of Team Spirit has been quite shaky until now. They’ve not been able to show their true teamwork potential after their recent roster changes during the Spring Shuffle period.

Team Spirit have been renowned professional players in the team roster but their poor coordination and lack of good communication are the two main problems by which they can’t defeat any professional tier one team in the Dota 2 competitive tournaments.

On the analysis, which is based on pure statistics, drafting tactics and recent series, Team Liquid are far ahead of Team Spirit and they should be able to win best-of-three series against them at WePlay Season 3 LAN Finals.

Series winner prediction: Team Liquid

Chances of Team Liquid of winning the series

  • 2-0: 60%
  • 2-1: 80%

Bet range: High

Bet status: Excellent

3. Vega Squadron vs MVP.Phoenix – 14:30 UTC

The second last best-of-three series will be played between Vega Squadron and MVP.Phoenix. The recent performance of both the teams has been quite off the mark.

Vega Squadron are still struggling against professional tier one teams while MVP.Phoenix have totally lost their control in the Dota 2 competitive tournaments after their first major tournament victory against Evil Geniuses at DotaPit League season 4 LAN finals.

After the recent roster changes, Vega Squadron and MVP.Phoenix have also lost their control over team synergy and many problems have popped up in the communication level of the players.

Vega Squadron, despite of their bad performance, will still have an advantage over MVP.Phoenix due to two reasons. The first one is that the new patch 6.87 favors most of the European teams rather than Korean teams because the heroes that got nerfed were the same heroes that Korean players used to play in their Dota 2 professional tournaments.

On contrary, some of the heroes that got buffed were already in consideration of the European teams such as RIki, Storm, etc.

The second one is that the uniqueness of Vega Squadron during the drafting phase make them different from the rest of the teams. During the Shanghai Major, MVP.Phoenix were going absolutely wild in the starting phase but as soon as the teams started to realize their static strategy, their drafting line-up became weaker and at the end, they were annihilated by Team Liquid.

The overall statistics and recent performances of both the teams are terrible and it would be difficult to predict that which team can turn the tables in their favor. But looking at those two advantages mentioned above, Vega Squadron can take down MVP.Phoenix in the best-of-three series.

Series winner prediction: Vega Squadron

Chances of Vega Squadron of winning the series

  • 2-0: 15%
  • 2-1: 50%

Bet range: Very low

Bet status: Extremely risky

4. Ad Finem vs Evil Geniuses – 15:45 UTC

The last day of the best-of-three series will be played between Ad Finem and Evil Geniuses.

Evil Geniuses recently changed their roster and now Bulba and Aui_2000 will be played for the team. Aui_2000 and Bulba will be playing as hard carry and offlaner, respectively, in the team.

Though Evil Geniuses were not able to do much in the recent tournaments, their new line-up certainly has the potential to take down any professional tier one team in the DotA 2 competitive scene.

On the other hand, Ad Finem doesn’t seem to be performing quite well in the Dota 2 competitive tournaments. Their recent series and win ratio for April (46 percent) show that they are not prepared to face majority of the professional teams.

Therefore, considering all the statistics, team play style variation and drafting skills, Evil Geniuses should be much comfortable to take down Ad Finem in the best-of-three series at WePlay Season 3 LAN Finals.

Series winner prediction: Evil Geniuses

Chances of Evil Geniuses of winning the series

  • 2-0: 55%
  • 2-1: 75%

Bet range: Medium – high

Bet status: Good

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