The International Group Stage Betting Preview

Published: Oct 10, 2023

The International is only moments away, starting with The International Group Stage. With so much to discuss, we’ve gathered some thoughts and analysis in our very own The International Group Stage betting preview – let’s dive right in!

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LCQ Stage Scrapped

The first thing worth noting, especially for returning individuals from previous iterations of The International, is that the LCQ stage is no more.

Typically, ahead of the Main Event, the Last Chance Qualifier allows teams to fight for the final spots available in the Group Stage.

Naturally, these matches offer insight into the performance of LCQ teams.

This year, however, all teams have been seeded directly into the Group Stage following regional qualifiers well ahead of time.

All teams are on equal footing and have the chance to cook up something special for the Main Event – allowing for more upsets to happen!

Group Stage Format – Two Phases

the internatinal dota 2 patchImage credit: The International via Twitter
Image Credits: Valve

The Group Stage takes place between October 12th and October 15th in two phases.

Phase One has four groups of five teams each, which are yet to be determined. Within this single round robin, with BO2 matches, the following teams are competing:

  • Invited Teams: Team Liquid, Gaimin Gladiators, Tundra Esports, 9Pandas, Evil Geniuses, LGD Gaming, Shopify Rebellion, Talon Esports, beastcoast, Team Spirit, TSM, BetBoom Team
  • Regional Qualified Teams: nouns, Keyd Starts, Thunder Awaken, Entity, Quest Esports, Virtus.pro, Azure Ray, Team SMG

From Group Stage Phase One, the top four teams move on to Phase Two. Once in Phase Two, the remaining sixteen teams play eight BO3 head-to-head matches.

Seeding here involves 1st/2nd teams facing 3rd/4th placed teams from the Group Stage Phase One.

Winners of Phase Two matches start in the Upper Bracket of the Main Event, while Loswers of Phase Two start in the Lower Bracket.

This change to the Dota 2 TI schedule does allow for some high stakes matches to take place early on.

At the time of writing, Groups seeding is yet to be announced – Valve is leaving it for the last moment in order to make the matches as surprising as possible for competitors and viewers.

In this The International Group Stage betting preview, let’s take a look at some interesting storylines to consider for the Group Stage.

LGD Gaming – Finally Dark Horses

Bali Major Playoffs betting preview psg.lgdThe International Group Stage bettin gpreview
Image Credits: Valve

Year after year, LGD Gaming (recently rebranded from PSG.LGD) has entered The International as favourites and always faltered at the final moments.

Now, for The International 2023 as discussed in our TI 2023 Power Rankings, they aren’t favourites this time around following a lacklustre season compared to their standard.

Bearing this in mind, perhaps this could be their year now that they pose less of a threat. Perhaps less teams prepare for them compared to the past, giving them the edge.

While they may seem like they’re not favoured, we wouldn’t count out this interesting dark horse. 

Shopify Rebellion – An NA Threat?

One recent surprise in the competitive Dota 2 community has been Shopify Rebellion.

While they aren’t too high up in the outright TI12 odds, they offer an interesting narrative.

Moreover, at the most recent international Dota 2 tournament, DreamLeague Season 21, Shopify Rebellion stunned the community with a second place finish.

However, there are doubts – for example, there are discussions over how teams may be saving strategies for TI and avoided playing their best. While this could be the case, Shopify Rebellion offers a new spin to the tale of NA at TI.

Typically, NA fails to impress at TI – maybe Shopify Rebellion could turn that story around? 

Team Spirit – Roaring Dragons

dota 2 ti standings team spirit
Image credit: The International via Twitter

Up to a month ago, Team Spirit weren’t favourites. Yes, they were a respectable EEU team, but they hadn’t impressed all season long.

However, in the past month, they’ve won both Riyadh Masters and DreamLeague Season 21.

Suddenly, the former TI champions look to reclaim the Aegis of Champions. Peaking at the right time all season long makes them deadly favourites in the community and according to the outright betting odds.

Their former TI win was already an insane story – another one here, with an identical roster, would be equally nuts.

Gaimin Gladiators – Destined to Fail?

There’s a so-called ‘curse’ which the competitive community likes to joke about.

Specifically, it’s a superstition that the team that wins the most events in the regular DPC season never wins The International. 

Notably, Gaimin Gladiators has dominated all season long, winning almost every single regular season Major and international tournament.

However, they have fallen short at Riyadh Masters Gamers8 and DreamLeague Season 21, which has fans worried that the pressure is getting to them.

While they’re heavy favourites for TI, they need to manage the pressure to succeed. 

Tundra Esports – Super Substitute

Another favourite all season long has been another WEU team in the form of Tundra Esports.

As the defending champions from their dominant performance last season, their run this year was threatened by a late roster change.

With one of their players having to bench themselves from the main roster last month, many thought it was all over. 

Despite this change though, they managed to finish 5-6th at DreamLeague Season 21 – meaning that they can’t be underestimated just because of a substitute.

All-in-all, there are a tonne of storylines to consider. For more news about Dota 2 The International, check out our newsletter:

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Gabriel Sciberras

Since: February 7, 2023

Gabriel is a content writer and editor at EsportsBets, covering every related esports scene and topic under the sun, apart from plenty of experience in the realm of technology and gaming. When he's not covering international news, he's focused on the local Maltese scene.

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